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Recommendations for Pipeline Study |
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Recommendations sent to the Utah Division of Water Resources on issues that should be addressed in the MWH Lake Powell Pipeline Study May 15, 2007.
1) Ensure objectivity. Ensure that MWH Global does not stack the deck in favor of the pipeline. Genuine objectivity and fairness should prevail when analyzing water supply and demand as well as alternatives to the pipeline. Anything less will provide fodder for critics and community opposition. More importantly, lack of objectivity could lead water managers away from a more practical plan that could spare Utah major economic and political hardship.
2) Give local residents a genuine choice. Sponsor community outreach meetings early on. Genuinely listen to residents rather than tell them what they are to do. Acknowledge the possibility that a secure water future may not include the pipeline. By holding open meetings and conversations early, the Division and MWH Global will be more able to proactively identify community concerns and controversies rather than being blindsided in the future.
3) Address funding and taxation issues truthfully and openly. Inform the public of the pipeline’s whole story including its true cost (plus interest and inflation), escalating impact fees, enabling sprawl, uncertainty of Lake Powell and viable alternatives. Be aware of local resentment caused by being taxed $1 billion without genuine opportunity for democratic representation. Residents should be informed of how much debt would be carried and who would pay (current versus future residents, including current residents and their children who buy new homes). What contingencies would be implemented if the growth rate slows and impact fees are inadequate to cover bond payments? What interest rate will taxpayers pay? Pipeline cost estimates should include all associated expenses (e.g. engineering, surveying, right-of-way acquisition, environmental review and compliance, maintenance, etc.). Publicizing only construction costs is misleading.
4) Consider the potential financial impact of slower population growth. Pipeline financing depends heavily on unpredictable future population growth. If the population grows more slowly than predicted and revenues miss predicted targets, the Division of Water Resources and subscribing Water Districts would face an unfortunate choice of raising taxes or allowing the state’s bond rating to drop—causing all project costs to rise, while encouraging out-migration due to cost of living increases. State sponsored studies should address this precarious basis upon which the project would be built and identify contingency plans.
5) Analyze impacts on housing industry and our economy. As impact fees for new homes and commercial buildings escalate, the relative price of housing would make our County less attractive to prospective businesses and residents. Cities and taxpayers’ ability to pay for police, fire, roads, schools, sewers, libraries and other essential services would be strained. Population growth could actually decline as impact fees increasingly inflate the cost of housing. The subscribing Counties could lose their competitive advantage to other similar southwestern communities with lower taxes and fees. These negative results could be avoided by developing less expensive local water sources.
6) Directly address water right issues. Examine and clarify how additional State of Utah, Washington County Water Conservancy District (WCWCD and agricultural water rights in the Virgin River Basin could be developed. It appears that Washington County’s water supply systems could be modified to increase yield and efficiency through increased system flexibility and water re-use practices. For example, the 150 cubic feet per second capacity of Quail Creek Diversion could be expanded. Division of Water Rights data shows approximately 18,129 acre feet of privately owned groundwater rights currently being used for irrigation throughout Washington County. The Santa Clara River provides 8,341 acre feet of irrigation water rights. Neither of these resources appear in WCWCD’s potential future water supply studies. No one wants to see agricultural land converted to housing, but many local farmers have already sold out. The current trend is clear. MWH Global’s studies should address these issues directly.
7) Include groundwater analysis. Address the Navajo aquifer’s feasibility as a storage aquifer and/or back up water source during sustained drought. Examine the WCWCD claim of 200,000 acre foot storage potential below Sand Hollow Reservoir. Explore the possibility of other aquifer recharge projects.
8) Facilitate changes to state standards. The Utah Division of Drinking Water Level of Service standards should be changed to reflect levels established in more water wise communities throughout the Southwest. The Utah Division of Drinking Water Rule R309-510 establishes 800 gallons per day for inside use for each dwelling unit with an average 2.9 occupants. This standard is used in WCWCD studies to determine pipeline need—0.89 acre foot per dwelling unit, 51% inside, 49% outside including 5000 sq ft of irrigated landscape. However, the Division of Drinking Water acknowledges that Rule R309-510 is established “in the absence of firm water use data.” Numerous indicators—including WCWCD water use data—suggest that 800 gallon per dwelling is too high for southwest Utah. Research conducted by MWH Global should be used to establish more appropriate Level of Service standards for our region. The 800 gallon standard is significantly less efficient than other arid desert communities, e.g. Tucson, Albuquerque and Las Vegas. The 800 gallon standard creates a false sense of water demand when applied to Washington County. MWH Global’s studies should also acknowledge the shrinking of average lot sizes and the projected drop in residents per unit to 2.5 by 2040.
9) Compare local water use to similar desert communities. In 2004 Tucson Water (the metro utility) supported municipal and industrial (M & I) needs for a population of 638,936 with 128,521 acre feet—an average of 177 gallons per capita per day (gpcd). This includes over 7 million hotel user nights and a significant percentage of second homes. In 2006, the Albuquerque Bernalillo County Water Utility Authority provided 106,479 acre feet of M & I water for 490,000 residents, an average of 194 gpcd. The WCWCD Capital Facilities Plan (2005) suggests that 174,000 acre feet would be needed to support a population of 447,230. This would translate into an average use of 342 gallons per person per day. Because such comparisons will influence the pipeline’s bedrock assumptions, they should be included in MWH Global’s needs analysis. See http://www.westernresourceadvocates.org/media/pdf/FINAL%203%20City.pdf
10) Cost comparison between Pipeline and other alternatives: When all cost data for the Pipeline is available, MWH should compare the project to other alternatives such as: improving the efficiency/expanding the yield of existing water projects; conservation through tiered water fees; restrictions on new lawns and/or buy-back of existing turf; construction of storm water retention structures for groundwater recharge; acquiring agricultural water rights for conversion to municipal uses. This comparative cost data should be displayed in a chart for residents to easily read and understand.
11) Operation and Maintenance costs. In addition to the standard O & M analysis, MWH Global should estimate the incremental costs of pumping water as the elevation of Lake Powell rises and falls. For example, what would the added cost be if Lake Powell is less than 50% full more than 50% of the pipeline’s projected lifetime? What added costs would occur when electricity for the pumps doubles, triples or quadruples in price?
12) Risks of inadequate water in Lake Powell. Numerous climate experts, including a National Academy of Sciences panel, predict that changing weather patterns will likely reduce snowpack in the Rockies, reduce water supplies to Colorado River reservoirs and cause increased competition, conflict and litigation among water users. This could place the proposed pipeline in limbo. In other words, if we put all our eggs in the pipeline basket, we may come up dry.
After careful study of historical Colorado River flows, the Bureau of Reclamation recently acknowledged that the Colorado River Compact was based on an overly optimistic estimate of river flows. The Bureau of Reclamation recently announced a Colorado River policy shift that reduces water development targets in the Upper Basin by 25% from 7.5 million acre feet to 6 million acre feet.
The Colorado River Compact currently requires that in times of drought, Upper Basin states deliver water to Lower Basin states first before taking their own water. (Changes to this arrangement were recently proposed as “Shortage Criteria” and are currently being analyzed). In the future, water developments throughout the Colorado River Basin will further reduce the amount of water stored in Lake Powell. During a sustained severe drought, it is likely that Utah would not have legal right to withdraw water for the proposed pipeline until downstream users are satisfied. In this situation, the expensive pipeline would be dry when the communities that would have grown dependent upon it would need it most. To avoid this potential catastrophe, the state would be wise to develop a water system that minimizes its exposure to uncertainties of Colorado River politics or future severe drought.
Could the Lake Powell pipeline draw water when Lake Powell drops below minimum power pool elevation? What would the pipeline’s legal priority be? The MWH Global study should include chart major water rights in the Colorado River’s upper and lower basins by priority. The study should analyze how upper basin water shortages would be managed. The public needs to know who will get shorted before and after the proposed pipeline.
13) Health concerns about Lake Powell water. In addition to reduced storage capacity, scientists have observed increasing concentrations of chemical pollutants in Lake Powell when reservoir levels drop. The MWH Global study should analyze the potential ramifications of increased health risks and water treatment costs associated with reservoir shrinkage.
Generally speaking, water management contingencies resulting from Colorado River over-allocation should be addressed in the MWH Global study.
14) Native American water rights. Native American tribes are becoming increasingly successful in winning their claims to Colorado River water that pre-date the 1922 Compact. Experts estimate that tribes are owed between 3 and 5 million acre feet. As these claims are satisfied prior to, during or after pipeline construction, less water will be available for the proposed pipeline.
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